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Red143
261135.6
567544.9
505621.4
Blue123
654849.0
975822.3
954915.1
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1257750100150143123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+18Teleop
+32Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave0
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points12
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +7
17Coral scored#19
60Coral points69
4Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
24Processor points12
20Net points16
44Algae points28
104Total teleop97
Reef
9L4#8
4L3#6
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#27
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points12
143Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.93.0
41.744.7
Auto11.5
Teleop27.3
End6.1
blue by 4.1
6548
#10
49.03.1
40.143.2
Auto8.2
Teleop39.9
End0.8
Second
2611
#17
35.63.0
35.638.6
Auto12.0
Teleop21.4
End2.2
red by 13.3
9758
#25
22.33.4
14.317.7
Auto3.2
Teleop18.0
End1.1
Third
5056
#18
21.43.0
23.026.0
Auto2.4
Teleop17.7
End1.3
red by 6.4
9549
#33
15.13.1
15.118.2
Auto2.5
Teleop10.7
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsEarned16%Barge oddsEarned