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Red122
205444.5
362054.8
658820.1
Blue111
1047326.5
276761.0
720310.7
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1301056080120140160180122111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+1Teleop
+11Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave0
5Coral scored#6
26Coral points30
26Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +5
16Coral scored#15
58Coral points53
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
82Total teleop77
Reef
9L4#6
7L3#5
3L2#7
2L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#26
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
0Foul points0
122Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.80.5
46.547.0
Auto13.0
Teleop30.6
End11.2
blue by 6.2
61.01.0
55.656.6
Auto19.9
Teleop35.9
End5.2
Second
44.50.5
40.140.6
Auto7.8
Teleop34.8
End1.9
red by 18.0
26.51.0
22.723.7
Auto6.2
Teleop18.5
End1.8
Third
6588
#15
20.10.6
20.721.3
Auto6.9
Teleop10.6
End2.6
red by 9.4
7203
#34
10.71.0
10.611.7
Auto1.2
Teleop7.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsMissed