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Red85
687729.3
963816.4
561021.7
Blue124
584340.3
721019.3
725620.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7279020406010012014085124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+37
Endgame+39
Fouls+39
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave3
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points16
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +27
12Coral scored#15
44Coral points55
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#7
6Processor points6
12Net points28
18Algae points34
62Total teleop89
Reef
6L4#8
2L3#4
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
0Foul points0
85Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6877
#22
29.30.7
25.025.7
Auto4.9
Teleop17.2
End7.1
blue by 11.0
40.33.9
35.939.8
Auto5.5
Teleop28.2
End6.6
Second
5610
#28
21.70.7
21.021.7
Auto3.6
Teleop11.0
End7.0
red by 0.9
7256
#13
20.82.9
15.918.8
Auto4.6
Teleop14.0
End2.2
Third
9638
#35
16.40.8
16.016.8
Auto3.2
Teleop11.1
End2.1
blue by 2.9
7210
#37
19.33.9
15.519.4
Auto4.3
Teleop12.1
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned48%Barge oddsEarned