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Red30
977125.2
609117.6
71557.3
Blue40
954120.5
224616.8
524719.5
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions397302060801001201403040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+8
Endgame+10
Fouls+10
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points9
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +8
3Coral scored#4
10Coral points14
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
0Processor points0
4Net points8
4Algae points8
14Total teleop22
Reef
1L4#2
2L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points0
30Total score40

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9771
#18
25.20.8
20.820.1
Auto5.8
Teleop18.5
End1.0
red by 4.7
9541
#22
20.51.4
24.022.5
Auto5.6
Teleop13.2
End1.7
Second
6091
#29
17.60.8
14.313.6
Auto5.2
Teleop10.1
End2.3
blue by 1.9
5247
#26
19.51.4
20.519.0
Auto4.0
Teleop12.0
End3.5
Third
7155
#34
7.30.8
6.45.6
Auto3.6
Teleop2.3
End1.4
blue by 9.5
2246
#23
16.81.4
17.315.8
Auto2.5
Teleop11.2
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned28%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
6%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed