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Red115
607729.6
779040.0
368834.6
Blue87
376754.1
482719.0
508632.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8710740608010012014016011587

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+16Teleop
+28Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave6
2Coral scored#4
9Coral points20
12Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +30
20Coral scored#12
73Coral points43
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
87Total teleop57
Reef
8L4#6
7L3#3
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#19
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
0Foul points0
115Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.02.1
32.034.1
Auto6.9
Teleop26.5
End6.5
blue by 14.1
54.10.9
48.547.7
Auto11.1
Teleop37.5
End5.4
Second
34.62.1
27.529.6
Auto4.6
Teleop26.2
End3.8
red by 2.3
32.30.9
33.132.3
Auto6.1
Teleop18.8
End7.4
Third
6077
#16
29.63.4
24.427.9
Auto2.5
Teleop20.7
End6.3
red by 10.5
4827
#30
19.00.9
18.417.5
Auto4.4
Teleop14.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned73%Barge oddsMissed