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Red87
509825.2
75729.1
806925.4
Blue175
170691.8
180223.8
110850.1
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6719105010015025030087175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+84
Endgame+94
Fouls+88
AutonomousBlue +8
6Leave3
2Coral scored#4
9Coral points20
15Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +76
9Coral scored#21
32Coral points74
1Processor algae#4
3Net algae#7
6Processor points24
12Net points28
18Algae points52
50Total teleop126
Reef
4L4#10
4L3#8
2L2#5
1L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +88
6Foul points0
87Total score175

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
757
#4
29.10.5
24.625.1
Auto4.5
Teleop17.5
End7.1
blue by 62.6
91.81.0
93.594.5
Auto22.6
Teleop57.4
End11.8
Second
8069
#25
25.40.5
24.625.0
Auto2.9
Teleop19.8
End2.7
blue by 24.7
1108
#11
50.11.0
47.848.8
Auto9.1
Teleop32.3
End8.7
Third
5098
#10
25.20.5
25.025.5
Auto6.8
Teleop15.9
End2.5
red by 1.4
1802
#15
23.81.0
18.119.1
Auto2.1
Teleop20.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed74%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned91%Barge oddsEarned