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Red111
450059.9
747224.7
495918.9
Blue99
184749.1
176915.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1216505010015020011199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+4Teleop
+14Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave9
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points7
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +10
11Coral scored#15
41Coral points55
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#4
6Processor points6
20Net points16
26Algae points22
67Total teleop77
Reef
7L4#7
5L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#21
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points2
111Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.90.8
59.460.3
Auto17.4
Teleop35.1
End7.4
red by 10.8
1847
#19
49.12.3
38.941.1
Auto8.9
Teleop34.5
End5.7
Second
24.70.8
21.722.5
Auto6.5
Teleop14.5
End3.7
red by 9.4
1769
#18
15.32.3
16.618.8
Auto4.2
Teleop11.3
End-0.2
Third
4959
#27
18.90.8
17.618.4
Auto4.1
Teleop13.3
End1.4
red by 9.4
9.52.3
7.710.0
Auto3.7
Teleop4.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsMissed