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Red79
639135.2
747224.7
176915.3
Blue60
199722.0
245725.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions875201001502007960

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+9Teleop
+19Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points7
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +13
12Coral scored#9
42Coral points31
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
6Processor points0
8Net points12
14Algae points12
56Total teleop43
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#3
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#13
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points0
79Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6391
#13
35.20.4
36.436.0
Auto8.6
Teleop21.4
End5.1
red by 9.6
2457
#20
25.60.2
25.425.1
Auto4.2
Teleop19.1
End2.3
Second
24.70.4
24.724.3
Auto6.5
Teleop14.5
End3.7
red by 2.7
1997
#26
22.00.2
22.222.0
Auto4.3
Teleop15.9
End1.8
Third
1769
#18
15.30.4
16.115.7
Auto4.2
Teleop11.3
End-0.2
red by 5.8
9.50.2
6.76.5
Auto3.7
Teleop4.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsMissed25%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned10%Barge oddsMissed