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Red127
327728.5
460745.1
582626.3
Blue106
329124.0
558619.3
565343.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10371050150127106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+15Teleop
+15Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave6
3Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +5
20Coral scored#20
71Coral points72
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
18Processor points12
12Net points12
30Algae points24
101Total teleop96
Reef
11L4#5
5L3#6
4L2#6
3L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#25
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
6Foul points0
127Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.11.5
39.641.1
Auto7.1
Teleop35.1
End2.9
red by 1.6
5653
#17
43.52.1
26.328.4
Auto7.5
Teleop32.4
End3.6
Second
3277
#31
28.51.5
23.825.3
Auto4.7
Teleop21.5
End2.3
red by 4.5
3291
#44
24.02.1
17.719.8
Auto2.9
Teleop18.0
End3.1
Third
5826
#38
26.31.5
23.224.7
Auto7.0
Teleop17.1
End2.2
red by 7.0
5586
#53
19.32.1
20.022.1
Auto4.1
Teleop13.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed