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Red141
286140.2
161958.4
329336.8
Blue70
265421.6
252627.6
401117.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1008205015020014170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+69Teleop
+71Endgame
+71Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
3Leave6
3Coral scored#0
16Coral points0
19Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +56
21Coral scored#8
74Coral points28
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#1
6Processor points12
20Net points4
26Algae points16
100Total teleop44
Reef
7L4#2
8L3#3
5L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
30Game pieces#11
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +71
6Foul points6
141Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.44.2
35.039.1
Auto10.4
Teleop39.8
End8.2
red by 30.8
2526
#42
27.62.3
24.021.7
Auto3.9
Teleop21.5
End2.1
Second
2861
#14
40.24.2
21.825.9
Auto8.5
Teleop26.1
End5.7
red by 18.6
2654
#30
21.62.3
25.022.8
Auto2.9
Teleop13.9
End4.8
Third
3293
#12
36.84.2
29.733.8
Auto5.0
Teleop24.7
End7.2
red by 19.5
4011
#49
17.32.3
24.222.0
Auto2.0
Teleop12.4
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned44%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsEarned48%Barge oddsEarned