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Red84
466418.5
374518.1
546432.5
Blue99
253819.0
285526.3
249158.7
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6510702040801201401608499

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+15
Endgame+15
Fouls+15
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points14
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +15
9Coral scored#12
31Coral points44
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#1
6Processor points12
8Net points4
14Algae points16
45Total teleop60
Reef
5L4#6
4L3#4
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points0
84Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5464
#38
32.51.4
32.233.7
Auto4.4
Teleop22.2
End5.8
blue by 26.2
58.70.6
49.249.7
Auto14.1
Teleop37.8
End6.7
Second
4664
#48
18.52.4
15.117.5
Auto4.4
Teleop9.9
End4.2
blue by 7.8
2855
#15
26.30.9
28.129.1
Auto5.4
Teleop17.2
End3.7
Third
3745
#32
18.12.4
15.417.7
Auto5.1
Teleop10.8
End2.2
blue by 0.9
2538
#16
19.00.9
13.414.3
Auto4.8
Teleop12.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsEarned