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Qual 512025 Minnesota 10,000 Lakes Regional
Red103
329750.8
251112.1
247243.7
Blue65
823411.4
345421.4
301831.5
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions115775010015010365

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+40Teleop
+38Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave9
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points7
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +33
18Coral scored#10
64Coral points35
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
78Total teleop45
Reef
5L4#5
9L3#3
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
0Foul points0
103Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3297
#1
50.80.3
48.5→48.8
Auto11.4
Teleop31.3
End8.1
red by 19.3
3018
#30
31.50.7
32.0→31.4
Auto6.6
Teleop22.7
End2.2
Second
2472
#35
43.70.3
37.8→38.1
Auto4.2
Teleop36.1
End3.4
red by 22.3
3454
#42
21.40.7
20.6→19.9
Auto7.1
Teleop13.1
End1.1
Third
2511
#44
12.10.5
12.2→12.7
Auto3.0
Teleop7.7
End1.4
red by 0.7
8234
#45
11.40.7
18.4→17.7
Auto3.1
Teleop7.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsMissed56%Barge oddsMissed