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Red125
419832.7
477838.1
249160.6
Blue154
388348.3
472860.6
253069.6
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions135201050100150250300125154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+29
Endgame+29
Fouls+29
AutonomousBlue +18
6Leave3
2Coral scored#6
9Coral points30
15Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +11
19Coral scored#19
68Coral points67
2Processor algae#4
4Net algae#4
12Processor points24
16Net points16
28Algae points40
96Total teleop107
Reef
6L4#10
5L3#5
6L2#5
4L1 · trough#5
27Game pieces#33
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
0Foul points0
125Total score154

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.60.3
63.763.4
Auto12.6
Teleop40.5
End7.5
blue by 9.0
69.61.5
67.666.1
Auto15.3
Teleop45.9
End8.4
Second
4778
#12
38.10.3
32.932.5
Auto9.6
Teleop27.4
End1.1
blue by 22.4
60.61.5
62.060.5
Auto8.4
Teleop42.3
End9.9
Third
4198
#10
32.70.3
33.433.1
Auto4.5
Teleop20.3
End7.9
blue by 15.7
48.31.5
46.845.3
Auto9.2
Teleop32.5
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed75%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned