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Red120
212959.1
784910.7
205263.7
Blue54
222721.5
527510.7
218121.9
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17361010015020025012054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+56Teleop
+66Endgame
+66Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
3Leave3
8Coral scored#3
41Coral points16
44Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +31
12Coral scored#5
42Coral points17
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#3
6Processor points0
12Net points12
18Algae points12
60Total teleop29
Reef
6L4#4
7L3#2
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#11
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +66
0Foul points0
120Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.71.5
62.360.9
Auto11.5
Teleop43.3
End8.9
red by 41.8
2181
#17
21.90.9
28.027.1
Auto7.8
Teleop9.6
End4.4
Second
2129
#11
59.11.5
64.763.2
Auto17.4
Teleop40.4
End1.4
red by 37.6
2227
#27
21.50.9
26.725.8
Auto4.5
Teleop14.8
End2.2
Third
7849
#22
10.71.5
15.113.6
Auto4.2
Teleop6.8
End-0.3
Level
5275
#25
10.70.9
12.711.8
Auto3.5
Teleop6.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
43%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsMissed