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Red146
327685.7
340717.1
250230.1
Blue117
247230.5
298747.7
310044.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15713650100200146117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+27Teleop
+29Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave6
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points13
13Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +33
25Coral scored#14
91Coral points50
1Processor algae#3
5Net algae#4
6Processor points18
20Net points16
26Algae points34
117Total teleop84
Reef
9L4#8
7L3#3
6L2#3
5L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#24
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
0Foul points0
146Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85.70.9
81.382.2
Auto7.4
Teleop67.3
End11.1
red by 38.0
47.70.7
48.247.5
Auto14.5
Teleop27.5
End5.8
Second
2502
#16
30.10.9
33.033.9
Auto6.5
Teleop19.5
End4.0
blue by 14.7
3100
#28
44.70.7
46.045.4
Auto3.1
Teleop37.4
End4.3
Third
3407
#21
17.10.9
18.719.5
Auto4.5
Teleop11.0
End1.7
blue by 13.3
2472
#19
30.50.7
32.631.9
Auto4.5
Teleop24.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsMissed86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
32%Coral oddsEarned20%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned55%Barge oddsEarned