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Red98
253069.6
285519.3
284611.8
Blue106
453633.5
253114.8
477838.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1248205010015020025098106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+20
Endgame+8
Fouls+8
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points7
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +20
14Coral scored#18
52Coral points66
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
66Total teleop86
Reef
5L4#9
4L3#5
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#23
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points0
98Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.60.3
66.165.8
Auto15.3
Teleop45.9
End8.4
red by 31.5
4778
#12
38.11.7
32.534.3
Auto9.6
Teleop27.4
End1.1
Second
2855
#30
19.30.3
22.722.3
Auto3.6
Teleop13.1
End2.7
blue by 14.1
4536
#18
33.51.7
32.334.1
Auto3.4
Teleop28.1
End2.0
Third
2846
#24
11.80.3
14.314.0
Auto2.7
Teleop7.4
End1.7
blue by 3.0
2531
#29
14.81.7
15.116.9
Auto0.9
Teleop13.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsEarned21%Barge oddsMissed