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Red77
250023.4
527510.7
388348.3
Blue128
460767.3
419832.7
25138.7
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8612805010015020025077128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+49
Endgame+51
Fouls+51
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave3
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points27
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +28
9Coral scored#13
34Coral points46
2Processor algae#4
2Net algae#3
12Processor points24
8Net points12
20Algae points36
54Total teleop82
Reef
5L4#9
3L3#3
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +51
0Foul points0
77Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.31.1
45.344.2
Auto9.2
Teleop32.5
End6.7
blue by 19.0
67.30.6
67.067.6
Auto18.1
Teleop42.6
End6.6
Second
2500
#13
23.41.1
25.724.6
Auto4.8
Teleop16.4
End2.2
blue by 9.3
4198
#10
32.70.6
33.133.7
Auto4.5
Teleop20.3
End7.9
Third
5275
#25
10.71.1
11.810.7
Auto3.5
Teleop6.2
End1.0
red by 2.0
2513
#20
8.70.6
7.17.8
Auto3.1
Teleop3.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsMissed72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned87%Barge oddsEarned