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Red91
212959.1
222721.5
36108.8
Blue161
205263.7
249160.6
55414.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10814905020025030091161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+52
Endgame+76
Fouls+70
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave3
5Coral scored#6
24Coral points30
27Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +46
10Coral scored#17
36Coral points62
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#4
6Processor points18
8Net points16
14Algae points34
50Total teleop96
Reef
7L4#7
3L3#6
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#7
18Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +24
2Cage & park26
2Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +70
12Foul points6
91Total score161

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2129
#11
59.11.5
63.261.7
Auto17.4
Teleop40.4
End1.4
blue by 4.6
63.71.8
60.962.7
Auto11.5
Teleop43.3
End8.9
Second
2227
#27
21.51.5
25.824.3
Auto4.5
Teleop14.8
End2.2
blue by 39.1
60.61.8
63.465.2
Auto12.6
Teleop40.5
End7.5
Third
3610
#26
8.81.5
12.511.0
Auto2.9
Teleop3.7
End2.3
red by 4.0
5541
#23
4.81.8
3.65.4
Auto0.4
Teleop3.9
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsMissed83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
28%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsMissed79%Barge oddsEarned