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Red149
527510.7
327685.7
298747.7
Blue108
472860.6
250023.4
285519.3
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions160107050200149108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+39Teleop
+41Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave9
5Coral scored#2
24Coral points11
30Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +29
21Coral scored#13
75Coral points46
1Processor algae#1
6Net algae#6
6Processor points6
24Net points24
30Algae points30
105Total teleop76
Reef
10L4#5
6L3#4
5L2#3
5L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#22
BargeRed +2
14Cage & park12
14Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
0Foul points0
149Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85.70.1
83.183.0
Auto7.4
Teleop67.3
End11.1
red by 25.1
60.60.5
60.259.8
Auto8.4
Teleop42.3
End9.9
Second
47.70.1
44.944.8
Auto14.5
Teleop27.5
End5.8
red by 24.4
2500
#13
23.40.5
23.823.4
Auto4.8
Teleop16.4
End2.2
Third
5275
#25
10.70.1
10.810.7
Auto3.5
Teleop6.2
End1.0
blue by 8.6
2855
#30
19.30.5
19.819.3
Auto3.6
Teleop13.1
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
36%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
79%Barge oddsEarned79%Barge oddsMissed