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Red42
250230.1
784910.7
253114.8
Blue135
477838.1
388348.3
25138.7
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5696020408012014016042135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+73
Endgame+83
Fouls+93
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave3
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points20
6Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +56
6Coral scored#16
20Coral points58
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
6Processor points12
4Net points16
10Algae points28
30Total teleop86
Reef
3L4#7
1L3#5
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#4
8Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +93
2Foul points12
42Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2502
#16
30.11.3
31.430.1
Auto6.5
Teleop19.5
End4.0
blue by 18.2
48.32.5
45.047.5
Auto9.2
Teleop32.5
End6.7
Second
2531
#29
14.81.3
16.114.8
Auto0.9
Teleop13.5
End0.5
blue by 23.3
4778
#12
38.12.5
34.436.9
Auto9.6
Teleop27.4
End1.1
Third
7849
#22
10.71.3
12.010.7
Auto4.2
Teleop6.8
End-0.3
red by 2.0
2513
#20
8.72.5
6.28.7
Auto3.1
Teleop3.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsMissed72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed51%Barge oddsEarned