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Red80
247033.7
249160.6
222721.5
Blue86
308254.1
340717.1
284611.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions151830501002002508086

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+6
Endgame+6
Fouls+6
AutonomousBlue +1
3Leave9
3Coral scored#2
15Coral points10
18Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +5
10Coral scored#10
36Coral points37
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
12Processor points12
8Net points12
20Algae points24
56Total teleop61
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#2
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points0
80Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.62.9
62.759.8
Auto12.6
Teleop40.5
End7.5
red by 6.5
54.10.5
50.250.8
Auto15.2
Teleop37.4
End1.5
Second
2470
#15
33.72.9
36.633.7
Auto7.8
Teleop21.3
End4.7
red by 16.6
3407
#21
17.10.5
16.617.1
Auto4.5
Teleop11.0
End1.7
Third
2227
#27
21.52.9
24.421.5
Auto4.5
Teleop14.8
End2.2
red by 9.7
2846
#24
11.80.5
11.311.8
Auto2.7
Teleop7.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned44%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed25%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
73%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed