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Red135
310044.7
460767.3
212959.1
Blue142
36108.8
318428.7
253069.6
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions200102050150250300135142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+31Teleop
+19Endgame
Fouls+7
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave6
8Coral scored#3
41Coral points17
41Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +13
19Coral scored#16
68Coral points59
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
12Processor points12
12Net points8
24Algae points20
92Total teleop79
Reef
13L4#7
4L3#6
6L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
0Foul points26
135Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.32.7
68.565.8
Auto18.1
Teleop42.6
End6.6
blue by 2.3
69.60.7
66.066.7
Auto15.3
Teleop45.9
End8.4
Second
2129
#11
59.12.7
59.056.4
Auto17.4
Teleop40.4
End1.4
red by 30.4
3184
#14
28.70.7
25.025.7
Auto3.1
Teleop23.2
End2.4
Third
3100
#28
44.72.7
42.539.8
Auto3.1
Teleop37.4
End4.3
red by 35.9
3610
#26
8.80.7
8.18.8
Auto2.9
Teleop3.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsMissed74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
55%Coral oddsMissed21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsMissed74%Barge oddsEarned