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Red63
419832.7
55414.8
453633.5
Blue83
218121.9
247230.5
205263.7
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions661370501001502002506383

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+6
Endgame+8
Fouls+20
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave3
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points13
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +1
7Coral scored#8
26Coral points29
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
40Total teleop39
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#4
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points12
63Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4536
#18
33.50.7
34.233.5
Auto3.4
Teleop28.1
End2.0
blue by 30.2
63.73.2
61.958.7
Auto11.5
Teleop43.3
End8.9
Second
4198
#10
32.70.7
33.332.7
Auto4.5
Teleop20.3
End7.9
red by 2.2
2472
#19
30.53.2
32.028.8
Auto4.5
Teleop24.8
End1.2
Third
5541
#23
4.80.7
5.44.8
Auto0.4
Teleop3.9
End0.4
blue by 17.1
2181
#17
21.93.2
25.121.9
Auto7.8
Teleop9.6
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsEarned79%Barge oddsEarned