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Red222
460767.3
212959.1
327685.7
Blue197
249160.6
388348.3
472860.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22517750100150200250300222197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+25Teleop
+25Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
9Leave6
6Coral scored#3
31Coral points16
40Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +7
27Coral scored#30
96Coral points109
4Processor algae#2
9Net algae#7
24Processor points12
36Net points28
60Algae points40
156Total teleop149
Reef
15L4#12
6L3#12
9L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
46Game pieces#42
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +25
0Foul points0
222Total score197

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85.70.4
83.083.4
Auto7.4
Teleop67.3
End11.1
red by 25.1
60.60.7
59.860.4
Auto12.6
Teleop40.5
End7.5
Second
67.30.4
65.866.2
Auto18.1
Teleop42.6
End6.6
red by 6.7
60.60.7
59.860.4
Auto8.4
Teleop42.3
End9.9
Third
2129
#11
59.10.4
56.456.7
Auto17.4
Teleop40.4
End1.4
red by 10.8
48.30.7
47.548.2
Auto9.2
Teleop32.5
End6.7