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Red239
460767.3
212959.1
327685.7
Blue165
205263.7
310044.7
308254.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22715750100200250300239165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+62Teleop
+74Endgame
+74Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
9Leave3
7Coral scored#3
35Coral points17
44Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +38
38Coral scored#29
137Coral points103
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
12Processor points12
20Net points16
32Algae points28
169Total teleop131
Reef
10L4#14
14L3#7
12L2#7
9L1 · trough#4
52Game pieces#38
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +74
0Foul points0
239Total score165

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85.70.7
83.484.1
Auto7.4
Teleop67.3
End11.1
red by 22.0
63.70.3
59.659.9
Auto11.5
Teleop43.3
End8.9
Second
67.30.7
66.266.9
Auto18.1
Teleop42.6
End6.6
red by 13.2
54.10.3
51.751.9
Auto15.2
Teleop37.4
End1.5
Third
2129
#11
59.10.7
56.757.5
Auto17.4
Teleop40.4
End1.4
red by 14.4
3100
#28
44.70.3
40.741.0
Auto3.1
Teleop37.4
End4.3