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Red228
534856.3
310054.7
725773.0
Blue165
460780.9
614644.6
247046.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions185186150160170180200210220228165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+53Teleop
+63Endgame
+63Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
4Coral scored#4
20Coral points20
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +53
30Coral scored#24
109Coral points86
6Processor algae#3
6Net algae#3
36Processor points18
24Net points12
60Algae points30
169Total teleop116
Reef
13L4#14
10L3#5
7L2#4
4L1 · trough#5
46Game pieces#34
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +63
0Foul points0
228Total score165

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7257
#15
73.03.1
68.671.7
Auto13.0
Teleop50.1
End9.8
blue by 8.0
80.90.7
76.475.6
Auto18.3
Teleop54.0
End8.7
Second
5348
#14
56.33.1
49.852.9
Auto9.1
Teleop40.7
End6.5
red by 10.0
2470
#22
46.30.7
40.940.1
Auto8.6
Teleop32.4
End5.3
Third
3100
#31
54.73.1
51.354.4
Auto3.2
Teleop45.2
End6.4
red by 10.2
6146
#16
44.60.7
47.746.9
Auto4.4
Teleop33.2
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
27%Coral oddsEarned59%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned78%Barge oddsEarned