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Red156
957661.2
674926.5
249167.9
Blue147
331349.9
212971.3
313062.6
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions169207100150250300156147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+13
+9Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousBlue +24
6Leave9
3Coral scored#7
14Coral points35
20Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +11
18Coral scored#18
66Coral points65
4Processor algae#3
5Net algae#4
24Processor points18
20Net points16
44Algae points34
110Total teleop99
Reef
8L4#8
7L3#7
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#6
30Game pieces#32
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points0
156Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2491
#13
67.90.1
64.464.3
Auto15.0
Teleop43.9
End9.0
blue by 3.4
2129
#24
71.32.7
71.168.4
Auto18.5
Teleop50.9
End1.9
Second
61.20.1
59.859.7
Auto9.5
Teleop44.2
End7.4
blue by 1.4
3130
#11
62.62.7
56.653.9
Auto14.9
Teleop38.0
End9.6
Third
6749
#35
26.50.1
27.427.4
Auto7.0
Teleop15.9
End3.6
blue by 23.4
3313
#36
49.92.7
54.451.6
Auto16.2
Teleop27.0
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsMissed97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed80%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned92%Barge oddsMissed