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Red139
591373.1
310242.9
753024.8
Blue200
298752.3
253081.3
388349.9
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13120050100150250300139200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+22
Teleop+55
Endgame+55
Fouls+61
AutonomousBlue +22
9Leave3
4Coral scored#10
20Coral points48
29Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +33
17Coral scored#25
60Coral points91
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#6
18Processor points12
16Net points24
34Algae points36
94Total teleop127
Reef
6L4#13
6L3#9
4L2#7
5L1 · trough#6
28Game pieces#43
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +61
0Foul points6
139Total score200

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5913
#34
73.10.3
68.769.0
Auto11.9
Teleop49.9
End11.3
blue by 8.2
81.30.4
76.376.7
Auto17.8
Teleop52.9
End10.6
Second
3102
#23
42.90.3
36.236.5
Auto7.1
Teleop29.0
End6.7
blue by 9.5
2987
#26
52.30.4
51.952.3
Auto15.3
Teleop30.8
End6.2
Third
7530
#29
24.80.3
18.018.4
Auto6.8
Teleop11.3
End6.7
blue by 25.1
49.90.4
48.448.9
Auto9.6
Teleop33.3
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsEarned59%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned94%Barge oddsEarned