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Red172
329756.0
205272.1
604558.4
Blue162
614773.9
247245.4
613232.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21615050100200250300172162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
+16Teleop
+16Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousBlue +18
6Leave6
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points24
12Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +34
27Coral scored#16
98Coral points58
4Processor algae#3
6Net algae#9
24Processor points18
24Net points36
48Algae points54
146Total teleop112
Reef
7L4#7
8L3#5
7L2#5
6L1 · trough#4
38Game pieces#33
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points6
172Total score162

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.11.6
75.073.4
Auto10.2
Teleop52.7
End9.3
blue by 1.8
6147
#19
73.90.5
71.371.9
Auto18.9
Teleop45.3
End9.6
Second
6045
#12
58.41.6
56.755.1
Auto5.6
Teleop50.9
End1.9
red by 13.0
2472
#21
45.40.5
39.239.8
Auto6.8
Teleop37.1
End1.5
Third
3297
#20
56.01.6
56.554.9
Auto9.8
Teleop38.9
End7.3
red by 23.4
6132
#27
32.60.6
28.829.4
Auto5.2
Teleop22.3
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
64%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned83%Barge oddsEarned