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Red160
329756.0
388349.9
754146.6
Blue157
957661.2
565348.5
310054.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions171197100150250300160157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+7
+3Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave9
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points7
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +14
23Coral scored#25
83Coral points89
1Processor algae#3
8Net algae#7
6Processor points18
32Net points28
38Algae points46
121Total teleop135
Reef
10L4#7
7L3#12
6L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
35Game pieces#36
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points0
160Total score157

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3297
#20
56.00.1
56.156.0
Auto9.8
Teleop38.9
End7.3
blue by 5.2
61.21.3
62.561.2
Auto9.5
Teleop44.2
End7.4
Second
49.90.1
50.049.9
Auto9.6
Teleop33.3
End7.0
blue by 4.9
3100
#31
54.71.3
56.054.7
Auto3.2
Teleop45.2
End6.4
Third
7541
#18
46.60.1
46.846.6
Auto6.8
Teleop31.6
End8.2
blue by 1.9
5653
#28
48.51.3
49.848.5
Auto7.1
Teleop37.5
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
68%Coral oddsMissed55%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned68%Barge oddsMissed