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Red240
253081.3
284779.3
614644.6
Blue178
249167.9
604558.4
400950.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions222187100150200250300240178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+30Teleop
+62Endgame
+62Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave3
8Coral scored#4
41Coral points20
44Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +9
29Coral scored#30
106Coral points107
3Processor algae#2
9Net algae#8
18Processor points12
36Net points32
54Algae points44
160Total teleop151
Reef
11L4#16
15L3#7
5L2#7
6L1 · trough#4
49Game pieces#44
BargeRed +32
36Cage & park4
36Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +62
0Foul points0
240Total score178

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.32.0
79.181.1
Auto17.8
Teleop52.9
End10.6
red by 13.4
2491
#13
67.90.8
67.967.1
Auto15.0
Teleop43.9
End9.0
Second
79.32.0
77.679.6
Auto21.4
Teleop46.8
End11.0
red by 20.9
6045
#12
58.40.8
59.258.4
Auto5.6
Teleop50.9
End1.9
Third
6146
#16
44.62.0
42.644.6
Auto4.4
Teleop33.2
End7.0
blue by 6.3
4009
#30
50.80.8
51.650.8
Auto11.0
Teleop37.2
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
92%Coral oddsEarned23%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned51%Barge oddsMissed