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Red170
298752.3
222537.3
310242.9
Blue211
460780.9
472871.5
205272.1
1%Model gave it99%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13626550100200300350170211

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+45
Endgame+35
Fouls+41
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave0
7Coral scored#7
37Coral points37
40Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +48
18Coral scored#25
64Coral points90
1Processor algae#4
6Net algae#7
6Processor points24
24Net points28
30Algae points52
94Total teleop142
Reef
6L4#14
7L3#7
7L2#6
5L1 · trough#5
32Game pieces#43
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +41
0Foul points6
170Total score211

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2987
#26
52.32.2
50.152.3
Auto15.3
Teleop30.8
End6.2
blue by 28.6
80.92.0
80.378.2
Auto18.3
Teleop54.0
End8.7
Second
3102
#23
42.92.2
40.742.9
Auto7.1
Teleop29.0
End6.7
blue by 29.2
72.12.0
71.469.4
Auto10.2
Teleop52.7
End9.3
Third
2225
#25
37.32.2
35.237.3
Auto6.4
Teleop23.5
End7.5
blue by 34.2
4728
#10
71.52.0
72.870.7
Auto10.4
Teleop49.7
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
27%Coral oddsMissed89%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned