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Red121
674926.5
247046.3
305841.4
Blue198
247245.4
534856.3
313062.6
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12418250100150200250300121198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+91
Endgame+79
Fouls+77
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave6
3Coral scored#6
17Coral points31
23Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +77
13Coral scored#24
46Coral points87
2Processor algae#4
3Net algae#9
12Processor points24
12Net points36
24Algae points60
70Total teleop147
Reef
5L4#11
6L3#6
2L2#8
3L1 · trough#5
21Game pieces#43
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +77
2Foul points0
121Total score198

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2470
#22
46.30.5
46.846.3
Auto8.6
Teleop32.4
End5.3
blue by 16.3
3130
#11
62.61.9
60.762.6
Auto14.9
Teleop38.0
End9.6
Second
3058
#32
41.40.5
41.941.4
Auto9.4
Teleop24.3
End7.7
blue by 14.9
5348
#14
56.31.9
54.456.3
Auto9.1
Teleop40.7
End6.5
Third
6749
#35
26.50.5
27.026.5
Auto7.0
Teleop15.9
End3.6
blue by 18.9
2472
#21
45.41.9
43.545.4
Auto6.8
Teleop37.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsMissed31%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
61%Barge oddsEarned87%Barge oddsEarned