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Red177
614773.9
308257.6
248035.7
Blue198
288366.0
753024.8
212971.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19217350100150250300177198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+19
Endgame+21
Fouls+21
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave9
12Coral scored#9
58Coral points45
58Total auto54
TeleoperatedBlue +23
19Coral scored#20
69Coral points72
1Processor algae#3
5Net algae#7
6Processor points18
20Net points28
26Algae points46
95Total teleop118
Reef
14L4#10
10L3#7
4L2#6
3L1 · trough#6
37Game pieces#39
BargeBlue +2
24Cage & park26
24Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
0Foul points0
177Total score198

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6147
#19
73.90.8
73.374.1
Auto18.9
Teleop45.3
End9.6
red by 2.6
2129
#24
71.33.0
68.371.3
Auto18.5
Teleop50.9
End1.9
Second
3082
#17
57.60.8
56.857.6
Auto16.7
Teleop39.0
End1.9
blue by 8.4
66.03.0
63.366.2
Auto12.8
Teleop45.9
End7.3
Third
2480
#33
35.70.8
34.935.7
Auto9.1
Teleop17.2
End9.4
red by 10.9
7530
#29
24.83.0
21.824.8
Auto6.8
Teleop11.3
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
86%Coral oddsMissed79%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned73%Barge oddsEarned