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Red245
725773.0
327688.4
253081.3
Blue178
249167.9
472871.5
702869.2
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions255211150200300350245178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+29Auto
+61Teleop
+61Endgame
+67Fouls
AutonomousRed +29
6Leave9
8Coral scored#1
38Coral points6
44Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +32
27Coral scored#27
97Coral points97
5Processor algae#3
8Net algae#3
30Processor points18
32Net points12
62Algae points30
159Total teleop127
Reef
13L4#8
11L3#10
7L2#6
4L1 · trough#4
48Game pieces#34
Bargelevel
36Cage & park36
36Total endgame36
Penalties & totalRed +67
6Foul points0
245Total score178

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88.40.1
88.288.2
Auto11.2
Teleop65.5
End11.8
red by 16.9
4728
#10
71.50.6
70.770.1
Auto10.4
Teleop49.7
End11.4
Second
81.30.1
81.181.0
Auto17.8
Teleop52.9
End10.6
red by 12.1
69.20.6
68.467.8
Auto12.0
Teleop45.9
End11.2
Third
7257
#15
73.00.1
72.772.7
Auto13.0
Teleop50.1
End9.8
red by 5.1
2491
#13
67.90.6
67.166.4
Auto15.0
Teleop43.9
End9.0