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Red235
460780.9
591373.1
205272.1
Blue207
614773.9
288366.0
284779.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions233236200220260280235207

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
+2Teleop
+22Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave3
6Coral scored#10
30Coral points48
30Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +23
32Coral scored#29
115Coral points106
4Processor algae#1
6Net algae#7
24Processor points6
24Net points28
48Algae points34
163Total teleop140
Reef
12L4#13
11L3#9
10L2#10
5L1 · trough#7
48Game pieces#47
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +28
6Foul points0
235Total score207

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
80.90.2
78.278.4
Auto18.3
Teleop54.0
End8.7
red by 1.6
79.30.4
79.679.2
Auto21.4
Teleop46.8
End11.0
Second
5913
#34
73.10.2
70.470.6
Auto11.9
Teleop49.9
End11.3
blue by 0.8
6147
#19
73.90.4
74.173.7
Auto18.9
Teleop45.3
End9.6
Third
72.10.2
69.469.6
Auto10.2
Teleop52.7
End9.3
red by 6.1
66.00.4
66.265.9
Auto12.8
Teleop45.9
End7.3