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Red39
310051.4
257419.4
427722.1
Blue106
466337.4
701931.4
419837.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1018805015020025030035039106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+33
Endgame+53
Fouls+67
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave9
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +23
2Coral scored#8
8Coral points29
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#2
6Processor points0
0Net points8
6Algae points8
14Total teleop37
Reef
1L4#4
0L3#3
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +67
0Foul points14
39Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.43.9
45.241.3
Auto6.4
Teleop36.2
End8.8
red by 14.0
4663
#30
37.41.1
29.130.3
Auto7.0
Teleop26.0
End4.3
Second
4277
#32
22.15.3
21.416.1
Auto4.9
Teleop14.5
End2.7
blue by 15.1
4198
#27
37.21.1
26.928.0
Auto6.4
Teleop22.2
End8.7
Third
2574
#39
19.45.3
20.214.9
Auto5.6
Teleop8.8
End4.9
blue by 12.0
7019
#11
31.41.5
22.323.8
Auto7.0
Teleop16.1
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsMissed54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned48%Barge oddsEarned