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Red140
878713.4
214335.9
253073.0
Blue96
298743.4
250030.3
15932.6
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions141865010020025014096

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+34Teleop
+44Endgame
+44Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
3Leave3
6Coral scored#3
31Coral points16
34Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +19
13Coral scored#12
48Coral points43
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
18Processor points12
16Net points8
34Algae points20
82Total teleop63
Reef
6L4#5
6L3#4
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#19
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +44
0Foul points0
140Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.01.3
70.872.1
Auto16.9
Teleop44.6
End11.5
red by 29.6
2987
#14
43.41.0
33.134.1
Auto8.7
Teleop32.4
End2.3
Second
2143
#21
35.91.6
32.233.8
Auto9.5
Teleop20.6
End5.8
red by 3.3
159
#15
32.61.0
29.430.4
Auto4.6
Teleop18.8
End9.1
Third
8787
#41
13.42.2
16.819.1
Auto4.3
Teleop7.4
End1.7
blue by 17.0
2500
#12
30.31.0
21.122.1
Auto6.6
Teleop21.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
27%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned61%Barge oddsEarned