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Red160
250838.3
212964.3
340727.5
Blue190
205268.1
591360.4
361013.7
33%Model gave it67%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1081236080100140160180200160190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
Teleop+32
Endgame+54
Fouls+30
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave3
9Coral scored#6
45Coral points31
51Total auto34
TeleoperatedBlue +49
19Coral scored#21
67Coral points74
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#11
6Processor points12
8Net points44
14Algae points56
81Total teleop130
Reef
8L4#9
10L3#9
6L2#4
4L1 · trough#5
31Game pieces#40
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
24Foul points0
160Total score190

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2129
#20
64.32.1
53.155.1
Auto19.1
Teleop44.2
End1.1
blue by 3.8
68.15.7
47.453.1
Auto12.0
Teleop44.8
End11.3
Second
2508
#10
38.32.1
26.128.2
Auto12.7
Teleop22.2
End3.4
blue by 22.1
5913
#13
60.45.7
45.551.2
Auto11.5
Teleop40.1
End8.8
Third
3407
#25
27.52.8
20.022.8
Auto5.5
Teleop20.0
End2.1
red by 13.9
3610
#47
13.77.8
15.423.2
Auto4.1
Teleop6.9
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsEarned15%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed80%Barge oddsEarned