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Red74
297221.2
251818.8
369131.8
Blue86
223927.1
387123.0
304220.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67622040801001207486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+10
Endgame+6
Fouls+12
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave0
1Coral scored#2
4Coral points9
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +14
8Coral scored#10
27Coral points37
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
12Processor points12
16Net points20
28Algae points32
55Total teleop69
Reef
4L4#4
1L3#4
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#19
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points6
74Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3691
#26
31.80.1
22.222.0
Auto4.0
Teleop24.6
End3.2
red by 4.7
2239
#29
27.10.8
23.123.9
Auto3.3
Teleop20.0
End3.7
Second
2972
#42Sur
21.20.2
20.119.9
Auto5.1
Teleop14.5
End1.7
blue by 1.8
3871
#35Sur
23.01.2
21.222.4
Auto5.4
Teleop13.7
End3.9
Third
2518
#40
18.80.2
15.315.1
Auto6.2
Teleop12.9
End-0.3
blue by 2.1
3042
#22
20.90.8
10.010.8
Auto5.4
Teleop13.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
18%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsEarned