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Red109
320647.1
417455.9
427722.1
Blue71
216931.5
915715.3
701931.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1128505010015020010971

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+36Teleop
+36Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave3
4Coral scored#2
19Coral points9
19Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +29
14Coral scored#7
50Coral points25
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
72Total teleop43
Reef
8L4#3
3L3#2
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
2Foul points0
109Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.91.0
43.444.3
Auto13.3
Teleop33.6
End9.0
red by 24.4
2169
#31
31.50.2
33.833.6
Auto6.4
Teleop21.4
End3.7
Second
3206
#16
47.11.0
31.832.7
Auto9.5
Teleop32.5
End5.1
red by 15.7
7019
#11
31.40.2
23.823.6
Auto7.0
Teleop16.1
End8.2
Third
4277
#32
22.11.5
16.117.6
Auto4.9
Teleop14.5
End2.7
red by 6.8
9157
#45
15.30.2
12.512.3
Auto3.6
Teleop9.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned57%Barge oddsEarned