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Red180
304220.9
614760.5
591360.4
Blue145
217537.4
427722.1
181640.5
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1509050200250180145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+35Teleop
+35Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
9Leave9
6Coral scored#3
28Coral points15
37Total auto24
TeleoperatedRed +22
25Coral scored#24
89Coral points87
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
18Processor points6
20Net points12
38Algae points18
127Total teleop105
Reef
13L4#11
8L3#9
6L2#3
4L1 · trough#4
39Game pieces#31
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
0Foul points0
180Total score145

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.52.3
57.359.6
Auto18.3
Teleop35.5
End6.7
red by 20.0
1816
#23
40.52.7
37.540.3
Auto6.1
Teleop25.6
End8.8
Second
5913
#13
60.42.3
52.354.6
Auto11.5
Teleop40.1
End8.8
red by 23.1
2175
#38
37.44.5
29.734.2
Auto9.5
Teleop26.1
End1.7
Third
3042
#22
20.92.3
16.618.9
Auto5.4
Teleop13.9
End1.5
blue by 1.3
4277
#32
22.14.5
19.123.6
Auto4.9
Teleop14.5
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
23%Coral oddsEarned9%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned71%Barge oddsEarned