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Red75
297221.2
361013.7
466337.4
Blue170
205268.1
419837.2
250030.3
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7714005010020025075170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+75
Endgame+95
Fouls+95
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave9
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points17
16Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +65
11Coral scored#25
41Coral points90
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#3
6Processor points18
8Net points12
14Algae points30
55Total teleop120
Reef
6L4#11
3L3#9
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +95
0Foul points0
75Total score170

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4663
#30
37.40.4
33.132.7
Auto7.0
Teleop26.0
End4.3
blue by 30.7
68.12.9
59.762.6
Auto12.0
Teleop44.8
End11.3
Second
2972
#42
21.20.7
22.421.7
Auto5.1
Teleop14.5
End1.7
blue by 16.0
4198
#27
37.22.9
31.033.9
Auto6.4
Teleop22.2
End8.7
Third
3610
#47
13.70.7
16.816.1
Auto4.1
Teleop6.9
End2.7
blue by 16.7
2500
#12
30.32.9
26.929.8
Auto6.6
Teleop21.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed24%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed92%Barge oddsEarned