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Red16
260615.8
527113.9
305511.6
Blue72
251818.8
340727.5
15932.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions457501001501672

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+42
Endgame+56
Fouls+56
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave0
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points13
6Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +35
2Coral scored#9
8Coral points33
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
8Total teleop43
Reef
1L4#4
1L3#4
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#2
3Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +56
0Foul points0
16Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2606
#46
15.83.7
17.714.0
Auto3.8
Teleop11.2
End0.7
blue by 16.8
159
#15
32.60.1
29.329.4
Auto4.6
Teleop18.8
End9.1
Second
5271
#36
13.93.0
11.38.3
Auto4.0
Teleop8.7
End1.3
blue by 13.6
3407
#25
27.50.1
18.018.1
Auto5.5
Teleop20.0
End2.1
Third
3055
#43
11.63.0
15.012.1
Auto0.9
Teleop8.9
End1.9
blue by 7.2
2518
#40
18.80.1
17.817.9
Auto6.2
Teleop12.9
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed37%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsMissed74%Barge oddsEarned