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Red172
369131.8
247047.8
205268.1
Blue120
310051.4
387123.0
701931.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10386204060120140160172120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+52Teleop
+52Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave3
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points9
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +41
29Coral scored#18
103Coral points64
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
123Total teleop82
Reef
14L4#8
9L3#5
4L2#3
5L1 · trough#4
36Game pieces#24
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +52
0Foul points0
172Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.15.3
42.147.4
Auto12.0
Teleop44.8
End11.3
red by 16.8
51.42.1
43.045.2
Auto6.4
Teleop36.2
End8.8
Second
47.84.0
35.439.4
Auto6.2
Teleop36.5
End5.1
red by 16.5
7019
#11
31.42.7
19.622.3
Auto7.0
Teleop16.1
End8.2
Third
3691
#26
31.85.3
16.722.0
Auto4.0
Teleop24.6
End3.2
red by 8.9
3871
#35
23.02.7
17.620.3
Auto5.4
Teleop13.7
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsEarned