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Red95
727313.5
453640.1
298743.4
Blue104
250838.3
427722.1
462449.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions899840608012014095104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+9
Endgame+9
Fouls+9
AutonomousBlue +13
3Leave6
2Coral scored#4
10Coral points20
13Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +4
17Coral scored#13
60Coral points48
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#2
6Processor points18
12Net points8
18Algae points26
78Total teleop74
Reef
6L4#7
6L3#5
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#22
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points0
95Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2987
#14
43.40.8
32.333.1
Auto8.7
Teleop32.4
End2.3
blue by 5.8
49.20.5
44.144.6
Auto10.3
Teleop35.6
End3.3
Second
4536
#28
40.10.8
33.434.2
Auto5.0
Teleop33.3
End1.8
red by 1.8
2508
#10
38.30.7
25.426.1
Auto12.7
Teleop22.2
End3.4
Third
7273
#44
13.51.0
17.218.2
Auto3.4
Teleop9.5
End0.6
blue by 8.7
4277
#32
22.10.9
20.521.4
Auto4.9
Teleop14.5
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsMissed76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed