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Red80
257419.4
466337.4
214335.9
Blue176
320647.1
253073.0
313051.6
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9616805015020025030080176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+80
Endgame+70
Fouls+96
AutonomousBlue +13
3Leave3
3Coral scored#6
17Coral points30
20Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +67
9Coral scored#17
34Coral points61
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#8
6Processor points18
4Net points32
10Algae points50
44Total teleop111
Reef
5L4#8
2L3#7
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
14Game pieces#34
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +96
0Foul points26
80Total score176

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4663
#30
37.41.6
30.729.1
Auto7.0
Teleop26.0
End4.3
blue by 35.6
73.00.1
70.870.8
Auto16.9
Teleop44.6
End11.5
Second
2143
#21
35.91.6
33.832.2
Auto9.5
Teleop20.6
End5.8
blue by 15.7
51.60.1
38.938.8
Auto6.1
Teleop34.9
End10.6
Third
2574
#39
19.42.0
22.220.2
Auto5.6
Teleop8.8
End4.9
blue by 27.7
3206
#16
47.10.1
30.029.9
Auto9.5
Teleop32.5
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsMissed72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed27%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
32%Barge oddsEarned93%Barge oddsMissed