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Red93
417455.9
248037.0
469329.5
Blue55
304220.9
523222.7
297221.2
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112630501001502009355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+14Teleop
+32Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave6
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points3
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +10
9Coral scored#7
34Coral points26
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
12Processor points6
4Net points8
16Algae points14
50Total teleop40
Reef
4L4#3
4L3#2
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#11
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
6Foul points0
93Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.91.0
44.443.4
Auto13.3
Teleop33.6
End9.0
red by 33.2
5232
#33
22.70.7
23.923.2
Auto3.7
Teleop14.0
End4.9
Second
2480
#18
37.01.4
22.521.2
Auto8.9
Teleop21.3
End6.8
red by 15.8
2972
#42
21.20.9
21.020.1
Auto5.1
Teleop14.5
End1.7
Third
4693
#37
29.50.8
23.422.6
Auto4.6
Teleop21.6
End3.3
red by 8.7
3042
#22
20.90.7
10.710.0
Auto5.4
Teleop13.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsMissed47%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsMissed