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Red79
591820.2
199730.3
177524.0
Blue133
198767.5
962619.6
941047.2
2%Model gave it98%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6914705010020025079133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+12
Endgame+36
Fouls+54
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave0
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points16
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +9
12Coral scored#16
44Coral points57
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
66Total teleop75
Reef
6L4#6
5L3#6
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +24
0Cage & park24
0Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +54
0Foul points18
79Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1997
#23
30.30.5
28.629.1
Auto3.6
Teleop25.9
End0.7
blue by 37.2
67.50.7
63.662.9
Auto13.5
Teleop43.4
End10.5
Second
1775
#28
24.00.5
24.024.5
Auto4.9
Teleop16.9
End2.1
blue by 23.2
9410
#14
47.20.7
41.540.9
Auto7.9
Teleop29.5
End9.8
Third
5918
#27
20.20.7
18.919.6
Auto2.6
Teleop16.1
End1.5
red by 0.6
9626
#25
19.60.9
19.919.0
Auto0.9
Teleop16.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed29%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed92%Barge oddsEarned