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Red166
36569.4
909459.8
436126.2
Blue196
139162.3
259055.5
125754.9
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions167183100150200250300166196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+22
Endgame+30
Fouls+30
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
7Coral scored#7
35Coral points35
44Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +22
21Coral scored#24
74Coral points86
2Processor algae#5
5Net algae#3
12Processor points30
20Net points12
32Algae points42
106Total teleop128
Reef
9L4#12
10L3#8
4L2#7
5L1 · trough#4
35Game pieces#39
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
0Foul points0
166Total score196

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#4
69.41.1
66.067.1
Auto13.7
Teleop47.2
End8.5
red by 7.1
1391
#19
62.32.1
59.761.8
Auto12.8
Teleop40.9
End8.7
Second
9094
#30
59.81.1
55.556.7
Auto14.1
Teleop37.7
End8.0
red by 4.3
2590
#27
55.52.1
53.055.1
Auto11.6
Teleop35.5
End8.4
Third
4361
#54
26.21.1
27.628.7
Auto7.1
Teleop11.0
End8.2
blue by 28.7
1257
#12
54.92.1
51.853.9
Auto11.2
Teleop39.3
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
64%Coral oddsMissed41%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsEarned